Arosa vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEG
1 - 1
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
CER
37%
26%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
RCV
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 2
ARO
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SIL
0 - 2
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NEG
3 - 2
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SIL
43%
26%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |