Arosa vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 2
ARO
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
ARO
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
BOI
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
VER
56%
24%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 1
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
GAL
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |