Arosa vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
UPL
1 - 1
ARO
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
RSO
1 - 0
ARO
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
RSO
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 0
RCF
67%
22%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
AVI
2 - 2
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAS
61%
25%
15%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 0
CDU
68%
21%
11%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
7%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |