Arosa SC U19 vs Choco U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
8º
14
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 59 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 40 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 29 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
ARO
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
2 - 2
DEP
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
ARO
52%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARO
4 - 4
SPO
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 1
ATP
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
GIM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
CHO
47%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OVI
2 - 0
CHO
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
COV
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |