Arões vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
65.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 0
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 3
VIL
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
4 - 0
ARO
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 0
ADO
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PED
0 - 2
VIZ
13%
24%
63%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIZ
0 - 0
SMA
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIZ
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 1
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 1
VIZ
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |