Arões vs Varzim B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
ARO
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
TDB
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARO
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 1
CEL
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NIN
1 - 3
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 2
ADO
16%
23%
61%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
VAR
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAN
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RTI
4 - 2
VAR
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |