Arões vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
ARO
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
VIZ
12%
21%
67%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
ADO
15%
23%
62%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 3
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 2
TRO
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
4 - 2
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |