Arões vs Mondinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
ARO
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SMA
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 1
ARO
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
ARO
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 1
FEL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +6 |
Matches
Mondinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TRO
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ADO
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |