Arões vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ATA
1 - 1
ARO
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ADN
0 - 0
ARO
56%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
ADN
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
VIZ
16%
25%
59%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 1
BRA
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
5 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |