Aroche CF vs Atlético Cruceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+414%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ROS
4 - 0
ARO
49%
21%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 2
HCA
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ROC
4 - 2
ARO
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 1
OVA
40%
23%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOG
2 - 1
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 4
RIO
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 2
ROS
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ICR
3 - 0
CRU
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 4
HCA
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 3
CRU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |