At. Arnoia vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
ARN
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 2
MOA
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
ARN
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
POR
49%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 1
CDV
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
CDV
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 2
POR
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |