Premier League Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
ARN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAV
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 0
ARN
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 2
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ARN
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
ARN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
HAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 1
WAT
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BOY
0 - 3
WAT
36%
30%
33%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 2
LIO
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |