Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 1
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
SSC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 1
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 1
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UWI
1 - 1
WAT
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 2
WAT
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 4
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOY
0 - 1
WAT
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |