Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 0
REN
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
DON
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
ARN
26%
23%
52%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 2
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 0
BOY
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LIO
2 - 0
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |