Arnett Gardens vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
ARA
41%
24%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 0
ARN
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARN
36%
24%
41%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 1
REN
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
REN
1 - 4
SSC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
4 - 0
REN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
HAR
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |