Arnett Gardens vs Racing United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+390%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
2º
28
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
DFC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
ARN
23%
22%
56%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ARN
7 - 1
HOL
88%
10%
3%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RCA
1 - 2
ARN
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Racing United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 0
DFC
17%
22%
61%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
RUF
69%
19%
12%
|
8 | 69 | 61 | -1 |