Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
1º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 5
ARN
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
MOL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |