Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 1
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 3
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UWI
3 - 0
ARN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
ARN
1 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 0
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
REN
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
5 - 1
MON
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
LIO
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
MON
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MPA
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |