Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
ARN
37%
30%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 3
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
1 - 0
HAR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 0
ARN
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
HIG
2 - 0
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
REN
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |