Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
2º
23
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
18.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
2 - 0
ARN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RUF
0 - 2
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CMF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Molynes United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
0 - 2
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CMF
0 - 0
MOL
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
3 - 1
HAR
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
VER
0 - 5
MOL
44%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 2
TRI
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |