Arnett Gardens vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
1º
41
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 2
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LIO
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
HAR
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
2 - 0
FSC
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 2
LIO
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |