Arnett Gardens vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 0
ARN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 3
CAV
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MPA
1 - 0
ARN
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
DFC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LIO
1 - 1
CAV
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
LIO
2 - 0
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 0
LIO
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 1
MPA
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DFC
2 - 1
LIO
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |