Arnett Gardens vs Harbour View analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
2º
19
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
ARN
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 0
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 2
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
6 - 0
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
CAV
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MPA
3 - 1
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
RUF
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |