Arnett Gardens vs Harbour View analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
6º
5º
22
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 1
MOL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 0
ARN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 0
SFS
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
HAR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 2
HAR
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
WAT
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |