Arnedo vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
YAG
3 - 2
ARN
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
RIV
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 0
ARN
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 5
SDL
4%
11%
85%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 2
ARN
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ANG
6%
14%
80%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
PRA
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 4
ALF
7%
15%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |