Arnedo vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AGO
1 - 1
ARN
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 0
VIA
36%
27%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TED
1 - 1
ARN
54%
23%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 0
RIV
31%
25%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
ARN
45%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIA
29%
26%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
OYO
22%
25%
53%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
SDL
4%
12%
84%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | -1 |