Arnedo vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
83.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SMC
2 - 1
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
ANG
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SDL
6 - 0
ARN
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 3
HAR
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 2
ARN
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 2
VAR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
HAR
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 8
VAR
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
5 - 1
CDF
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 1
VAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |