Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Arnedo vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 2
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ARN
3 - 0
BER
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARN
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
TUD
1 - 3
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ARN
3 - 1
PEÑ
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CDC
3 - 1
TUD
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
TUD
4 - 2
CLH
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BER
1 - 1
TUD
48%
26%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
TUD
1 - 3
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
TUD
2 - 2
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |