Arnedo vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ANG
5 - 1
ARN
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 3
SDL
4%
12%
84%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
7 - 0
ARN
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 4
ARN
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 2
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 2
SMC
17%
20%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 2
CLH
9%
18%
73%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAX
4 - 0
SMC
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SMC
1 - 1
CAL
70%
19%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |