Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-6
Arnedo vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MHN
0 - 1
ARN
48%
28%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
ARN
3 - 1
GIR
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
35%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
ARN
1 - 0
FCA
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
OSA
5 - 0
ARN
52%
27%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
RSO
2 - 1
AND
73%
17%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RSO
4 - 0
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
JUP
2 - 2
RSO
22%
28%
50%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
RSO
5 - 1
MIR
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
RSO
1 - 1
HOS
70%
19%
10%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |