Arnedo vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
MIR
1 - 1
ARN
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 1
LUG
41%
29%
30%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ATB
0 - 0
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
ARN
3 - 3
PBL
28%
29%
43%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
AND
4 - 0
ARN
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CON
1 - 0
ATB
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
PBL
2 - 1
CON
78%
17%
6%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PBL
1 - 1
CON
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CON
2 - 0
AND
31%
28%
42%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +6 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
MOL
1 - 1
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |