Arnedo vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARN
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARN
3 - 2
OYO
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TED
2 - 2
ARN
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARN
4 - 1
AGO
36%
25%
38%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CLH
5 - 0
ARN
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 2
ANG
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
ALF
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BER
0 - 3
ALF
12%
18%
71%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VIA
1 - 2
ALF
6%
13%
81%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | +1 |