Arnedo vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
77.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
ARN
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
ANG
6%
16%
78%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CDF
3 - 1
ARN
50%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARN
46%
25%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
ALF
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
VAR
11%
17%
72%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AGO
1 - 1
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
VIA
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |