Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Mechtersheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
15º
14º
5
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARL
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 4
PFE
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WWO
0 - 3
ARL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 8
KAI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 2
ARL
16%
17%
68%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mechtersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
IDA
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 1
MEC
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AWA
2 - 1
MEC
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MEC
3 - 3
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 1
GON
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |