Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
17º
11º
47
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
28% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 1
ARL
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 3
PIR
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
WWO
4 - 2
ARL
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 1
ARL
34%
21%
46%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 0
IDA
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
IDA
87%
10%
4%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 5
KAI
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 0
GON
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EIS
2 - 6
KAI
10%
15%
75%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
KOB
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |