Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Idar-Oberstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
15º
14º
6
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 3
GON
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIS
2 - 0
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARL
0 - 1
KOB
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 2
EPP
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GON
0 - 0
IDA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 3
EIS
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
5 - 0
IDA
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |