Arminia Hannover vs Vorsfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
12º
9º
16
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 59 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 35 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
0 - 2
AHA
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
3 - 1
MEC
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
0 - 0
VFL
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 1
AHA
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AHA
1 - 1
ADF
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vorsfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 1
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HEE
5 - 1
VOR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 1
LUP
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 1
GER
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 2
HSC
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |