Arminia Hannover vs TuS Bersenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
18º
11º
60
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BWP
4 - 1
AHA
51%
21%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HAN
6 - 0
AHA
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GIF
1 - 1
AHA
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AHA
0 - 4
GER
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AHA
1 - 3
BWP
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MEC
0 - 3
TUB
42%
21%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 2
SVB
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ERH
4 - 3
TUB
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADF
3 - 1
TUB
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TUB
2 - 0
BSV
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |