Arminia Hannover vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1989 |
AHA
2 - 1
HOM
29%
25%
45%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
AHA
1 - 2
SNI
75%
14%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
AHA
0 - 2
EIN
37%
26%
36%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
MON
3 - 1
AHA
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
AHA
6 - 1
TSK
93%
5%
2%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
KOL
2 - 1
FCN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
KOL
4 - 1
NIT
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
KOL
4 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
STP
1 - 1
KOL
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |