Arminia Bielefeld vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 3
ARB
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 4
EIN
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 0
BVB
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BVB
0 - 2
BRE
20%
24%
57%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |