Arminia Bielefeld vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
REU
0 - 3
ARB
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
KSC
3 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1997 |
ARB
2 - 1
STU
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
RTV
1 - 0
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
STU
4 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 2
BRE
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 3
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
KSC
3 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
VAS
2 - 0
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |