Arminia Bielefeld vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
KOL
2 - 0
ARB
84%
11%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
ARB
0 - 3
S04
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1970 |
ROT
4 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ARB
1 - 0
BYM
23%
23%
55%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
KAI
3 - 0
ARB
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1970 |
BVB
0 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
HAN
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 1
MON
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EIN
0 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |