Arminia Bielefeld vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAB
1 - 0
ARB
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
CZJ
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UNT
5 - 0
ARB
38%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WER
0 - 4
DAR
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
WER
75%
18%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WER
0 - 2
OSN
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
STU
1 - 0
WER
64%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 0
WER
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |