Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
ERK
1 - 3
ARB
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
ARB
4 - 1
HAU
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1994 |
AAA
1 - 2
ARB
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ARB
2 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
WUP
2 - 0
ARB
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
PAD
3 - 1
VIK
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
VIK
1 - 1
ERK
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
VFW
2 - 1
VIK
12%
21%
68%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
VIK
2 - 4
HAU
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
ROT
6 - 0
VIK
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |