Arminia Bielefeld vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
TSV
1 - 5
ARB
9%
20%
70%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
ARB
0 - 0
SCF
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
EBT
2 - 3
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
VIK
1 - 2
AAA
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
VIK
1 - 2
WAL
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SCF
3 - 1
VIK
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
VIK
3 - 1
EBT
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
WAT
2 - 0
VIK
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |