Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1999 |
M05
3 - 1
ARB
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1999 |
ARB
5 - 0
ULM
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1998 |
HAN
2 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
ARB
2 - 0
UNT
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
ARB
0 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
STP
1 - 0
KSC
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1999 |
TEN
0 - 2
STP
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1999 |
WAT
4 - 2
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1999 |
SVS
1 - 3
STP
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
STP
0 - 2
SGF
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |