Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
SVS
1 - 0
ARB
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
ARB
0 - 1
DAR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARB
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
SCF
3 - 0
ARB
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
ARB
2 - 0
MEP
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
STP
2 - 0
MEP
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
FCR
3 - 1
STP
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
STP
2 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
ROT
2 - 2
STP
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
STP
5 - 1
KÖL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |