Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
WHE
1 - 5
ARB
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
KÖL
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 0
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
5 - 0
WOL
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 1
AHA
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
STP
3 - 1
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 0
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
STP
3 - 3
OSN
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
BSC
1 - 1
STP
19%
23%
59%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
STP
1 - 1
ISC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |