Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
MEP
3 - 2
ARB
34%
28%
37%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ARB
1 - 3
FCR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
F95
4 - 1
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
ROT
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
SCF
2 - 1
OSN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
MEP
3 - 3
SCF
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
SCF
4 - 0
USO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
FCR
0 - 0
SCF
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
SCF
0 - 3
ULM
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |