Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ENE
0 - 4
ARB
7%
16%
77%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
SCH
1 - 0
ARB
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
ARB
5 - 0
WAL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
REU
2 - 3
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
ARB
0 - 1
BAB
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
WER
5 - 0
SAA
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
SAA
0 - 2
EIN
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2001 |
KSC
2 - 0
SAA
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
SCH
2 - 1
SAA
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 3
WAL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |